The US dollar just hit the 7.2700 yuan mark against the offshore RMB, and the latest price was 7.2700 yuan, down 0.10% in the day. The US dollar against the onshore RMB was recently reported at 7.2660 yuan, up 0.06% in the day.Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.US President-elect Trump: Opposing Ukrainian armed forces to attack Russia with US long-range missiles has further escalated the conflict.
Market News: A fire broke out at Kaliningrad Shipyard in Russia.Institution: The Swiss National Bank does not need to cut interest rates sharply again. Melanie Debono, a macroeconomic analyst at Pantheon, wrote in a report that the Swiss National Bank does not need to cut borrowing costs sharply again. Earlier, the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Most analysts had expected a more cautious rate cut of 25 basis points. Debono said that there may be further relaxation after this move, but only a little. Pantheon Macroeconomics predicts that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again in March next year.Podolyak, adviser to the Office of the President of Ukraine, said in an interview with Channel 24 that Kiev was ready to negotiate with Russia, according to a report on the website of Russian satellite news agency on December 12th. He said: "negotiations can be started under any circumstances, but it is best not to use the word' peace talks' because it will be negotiations on freezing conflicts. Let's be realistic. " He pointed out that simple solutions should not be expected, and Ukraine needs just peace conditions. Earlier, Kremlin spokesman dmitry Peskov said that Russia was willing to negotiate with Ukraine provided that the conditions proposed by Russian President Vladimir Putin were met. The conditions mentioned include the complete withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Russia's "new region" and Ukraine's neutrality. (Reference message)
Institution: The Swiss National Bank does not need to cut interest rates sharply again. Melanie Debono, a macroeconomic analyst at Pantheon, wrote in a report that the Swiss National Bank does not need to cut borrowing costs sharply again. Earlier, the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Most analysts had expected a more cautious rate cut of 25 basis points. Debono said that there may be further relaxation after this move, but only a little. Pantheon Macroeconomics predicts that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again in March next year.Cui Dongshu, Chenglian Branch: The head car companies that grew in the auto market this year showed stronger characteristics of their own brands. Cui Dongshu, secretary general of Chenglian Branch, issued a document saying that the national new energy passenger car market showed a continuous upward trend in 2024, with a penetration rate of 52% for the retail sales of 1.26 million vehicles in November. With the strong growth of the extension program at the beginning of the year, the scrapping and renewal and trade-in since August have promoted the explosive growth of the entry-level hybrid of economical electric vehicles, forming a good performance that new energy vehicles will become stronger and stronger in 2024. This year, the head car companies that have grown in the auto market are characterized by stronger independent brands. In particular, the new energy trend of traditional independent car companies has surpassed the new forces, and more and more students have become "three excellent students" with mixed, pure electric and all-round development.International coffee futures rose as high as 70% during the year. As of December 12, Beijing time, the price of US ICE coffee futures had risen by nearly 70% during the year, and once hit a high of 345.55 cents/pound on December 10, a record high. At the same time, the price of Arabica coffee futures on the New York Futures Exchange also reached $3.434 per pound, exceeding the record high set in 1977. As for the reasons for the soaring international coffee futures prices, a futures industry source revealed that the price increase of coffee beans was mainly due to weather changes and supply chain disruptions. Brazil, the world's largest coffee producer (accounting for one third of the world's output), has experienced severe drought and frost in recent years, resulting in a sharp decline in coffee production. (CBN)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14